Blogcoven

Reading Peak Everything by Heinberg, I realise I’m probably getting a bit too good at the topic when I know who he’s quoting without looking at the footnotes.

Heinberg says:

According to one recent U.S. government-sponsored study, if the peak does occur soon replacements are unlikely to appear quickly enough and in sufficient quantity to avert what it calls “unprecedented” social, political, and economic impacts.

And I know without looking its the Hirsch report. ‘zah. Happily, I can turn my crazy to gain because I’ve got to do a strategic review of Cairn Energy and so a fairly detailed tear-down of the whole energy industry is legitimately in order. Not a calorie wasted, ‘zah.

I sincerely hope they’re all very wrong, its just a pity that the best ‘business as usual’ cases, where our only problems are climate change (as opposed to an imploding infrastructure on top of all that) are all based on the USGS 2000 survey which… is a great example of straight line forecasting. Energy Watch Group does a pretty good shred of the USGS report (see Annex 2) – its entertaining to see bullshit science get torn apart if nothing else.

I suppose its flattering how the optimistic views assume all of us Big Oil folks are magicians capable of conjuring thousands of kilometers of steel, dozens of burly workers and the mystic insight to find plays at a rate that will meet *soaring* demand. Maybe tomorrow I’ll trying flying to work. That should be well within my sorcerous powers…